Short answer
Open sources can reveal behavior before formal reporting catches up. The value comes from source discipline, corroboration, confidence assessment, and clear briefing, not from collecting more links.
Public evidence still needs judgment
Filings, job posts, product language, litigation records, logistics data, executive movement, and stakeholder commentary can be public and still easy to misread. Analysts need to judge source quality, timing, and fit with the decision.
Corroboration prevents overreaction
One source can start a watch. It should rarely close the call. MI looks for independent confirmation, pattern consistency, timing fit, and whether the evidence explains behavior that matters to the decision owner.
The brief should preserve the source trail
Leaders need to know what is confirmed, what is inferred, and what would change confidence. That is why source-confidence notes and briefing trails matter.
